Could the US Be Heading Toward a Major Shift in How Capital Gains Are Taxed?

Lower taxes could spur the movement of capital into real estate and other assets.

Image of a calculator that has TAX on the screen on top of money.
Image by Hamzaturkkol/iStockphoto.com

The current administration has reportedly discussed potential changes to capital gains taxation, including the concept of indexing capital gains for inflation.

The principle is simple: investors could potentially be taxed on their real economic gain, rather than the full nominal increase in value.

Here’s an example:

An investor purchases an asset for $300,000 and sells it several years later for $500,000.

Under the current system, the taxable gain would generally be $200,000.

Now assume cumulative inflation during the holding period was 15 percent. The original $300,000 cost basis, adjusted for inflation, would increase to approximately $345,000.

Instead of recognizing a $200,000 nominal gain, the investor would potentially be taxed on approximately $155,000 of real appreciation.

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