San Diego Multifamily Report – February 2023

Despite softening, some fundamentals remain strong.

San Diego rent evolution, click to enlarge

San Diego rent evolution, click to enlarge

Toward the end of the year, San Diego’s fundamentals began moderating, as the metro entered the winter season. After a strong first half of the year, rent growth ended 2022 with a 0.3 percent contraction on a trailing three-month (T3) basis through December, to an average of $2,658. Occupancy also followed this trend but remained elevated, with the rate dropping 60 basis points year-over-year, to 97.2 percent.

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San Diego sales volume and number of properties sold, click to enlarge

San Diego sales volume and number of properties sold, click to enlarge

The job market regained its footing, with San Diego unemployment falling to 3.3 percent as of November, according to preliminary data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The metro outperformed both the California and national rates, showing strong performance. In the 12 months ending in October, the workforce expanded by 4.4 percent, with 44,500 positions added. The long-delayed plan to redevelop 331 acres at San Diego’s Brown Field Municipal Airport gained traction—Industrial Realty Group entered a joint venture with Belzberg & Co. for the Metropolitan Airpark project in the Otay Mesa submarket. The 20-year development is estimated to cost $1 billion and will include more than 1 million square feet of retail, industrial space and a hotel.

San Diego. Photo by Wirestock/iStockphoto.com

San Diego. Photo by Wirestock/iStockphoto.com

Completions totaled 2,862 units, representing a 1.4 percent expansion of stock—30 basis points lower than 2021’s figure and 70 basis points lower than the U.S. rate. Sales totaled $2.3 billion in 2022, cooling off after the $3.8 billion cycle-peak of the previous year.

Read the full Yardi Matrix report.

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