San Francisco Multifamily Report – November 2023

After a couple of bumpy years, the rental market is stabilizing.

San Francisco rent evolution, click to enlarge

San Francisco rent evolution, click to enlarge

While the pandemic changed San Francisco’s paradigm, with residents leaving in pursuit of more affordable markets and housing options, the metro is slowly stabilizing again. Although rent growth was negative again, down 0.3 percent on a trailing three-month basis through September to $2,783, the period overlapped the start of the season, when gains typically slow down. This, in turn, helped occupancy remain nearly flat, declining 10 basis points year-over-year in August, to 95.3 percent. Meanwhile, the average U.S. asking rent also slid into negative territory, down 0.1 percent to $1,722.

San Francisco sales volume and number of properties sold, click to enlarge

San Francisco sales volume and number of properties sold, click to enlarge

In the 12 months ending in July, San Francisco’s employment market expanded 2.4 percent, or 71,500 jobs. Unemployment steadily increased from 3.3 percent in January to 4.0 percent in August, marking the highest rate in nearly two years, according to preliminary data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Still, the metro outperformed the state (4.6 percent), Sacramento (4.5 percent) and Los Angeles (5.4 percent), and trailed the U.S. figure by just 20 basis points. Two sectors lost jobs year-over-year through July—professional and business services and information, for 2,700 positions combined.

San Francisco. Photo by RichLonardo/iStockphoto.com

San Francisco. Photo by RichLonardo/iStockphoto.com

Developers delivered 4,241 units by the end of the third quarter and had 18,295 units under construction, but new construction volume tapered. Meanwhile, investment volume more than halved from the same period last year, at $966 million in September, for a price per unit that decreased 39.4 percent, to $245,510.

Read the full Yardi Matrix report.

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