Rent Deceleration Continues in San Francisco

The metro’s economy is strong and market indicators reflect continued growth, albeit at a slower pace than a couple of years ago. As supply continues to catch up with demand, Yardi Matrix expects rents to rise 0.8 percent in 2017.

San Francisco rent evolution, click to enlarge
San Francisco rent evolution, click to enlarge

After several years of consistent rent hikes, San Francisco’s housing market has cooled to some degree. Rents rose 1.8 percent year-over-year through September, trailing the national average for the 14th consecutive month. However, the average rent of $2,553 was nearly double the $1,354 U.S. rate, proving too high even for many highly skilled workers. This critical issue has pushed some large tech companies to enter the housing market, with plans to invest in affordable housing for their employees.

The metro’s economy is strong and market indicators reflect continued growth, albeit at a slower pace than a couple of years ago. The biotech industry is thriving, with Zymergen and Exellixis expanding their footprint by more than 100,000 square feet each. In October, infrastructure work began for the Landing at Oyster Point, a 42-acre research and development center. Construction on the project’s five- to seven-story buildings is scheduled to begin in the summer of 2018.

Investor activity has slowed down, with only $600 million in multifamily assets trading in 2017 through August. This follows a strong 2016, when transactions reached a cycle high of $3 billion. Development is robust, with more than 4,000 apartments delivered in the first three quarters and another 12,400 units under construction. As supply continues to catch up with demand, Yardi Matrix expects rents to rise 0.8 percent in 2017.

Read the full Yardi Matrix report.