Orange County Multifamily Report – April 2024
While things have slowed down, the market is still outperforming most of its peers.
Orange County multifamily fundamentals remained healthy thanks to steady demand, even as Southern California’s affordability problems persist. And while short-term rent movement turned negative at the start of 2024, down 0.2 percent on a trailing three-month basis through February, it remained positive year-over-year, up 2.2 percent to $2,750. Meanwhile, the U.S. rate declined 0.1 percent on a T3 basis through February, to $1,713. Occupancy remained flat in the 12 months ending in February, at 96.5 percent, placing the metro among the tightest and most stable rental U.S. markets.
Last year, Orange County employment expanded 2.3 percent, or 36,300 net jobs, ahead of the 2.0 percent U.S. rate. Meanwhile, unemployment rose to 4.2 percent in January, surpassing the 4.0 percent mark for the first time since January 2022, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. While it trailed the 3.7 percent U.S. rate, it outperformed the state (5.2 percent) and all other major California areas. Three sectors lost 5,800 jobs combined last year—financial activities, manufacturing and information—while gains were led by leisure and hospitality (10,800 jobs) and education and health services (10,200 jobs).
Deliveries through February amounted to 309 units, with another 6,849 units underway. However, construction starts are decelerating. Meanwhile, sales totaled $241 million through February, for a price per unit that rose 14 percent over last year, to $369,632.