Economist's View

According to economist Hugh Kelly, there are reasons to believe the U.S. economy is already shifting into "an altered state that will require significant adjustments to conventional expectations for commercial property."

The entire government debt market is so manipulated by the Fed and major foreign governments that the yield curve no longer says much about market beliefs, according to Dr. Peter Linneman.

How do trade policies affect the real estate industry? Economist Hugh Kelly surveys lessons from economic history and looks ahead to the likely impacts.

Some key economic indicators show continued strength, but there is more to the story. Trends in the yield curve appear to presage leaner times ahead, advises Hugh Kelly, the veteran real estate economist and CPE columnist.

Those expecting to hunt for discounts during the next down cycle should get up to speed now on REITs, contends Dr. Peter Linemann.

Early economic indicators point to a slowdown in growth in 2019. Nevertheless, as the U.S. enters its 10th year of expansion, optimism among commercial real estate investors persists, according to economist George Ratiu.

An inverted yield curve and forecasts of a dropoff in job growth are among the signals that the industry’s long, great ride may soon be ending, says economist Hugh Kelly.

After a decade of economic expansion, prosperity continues. But tightening by the Federal Reserve is likely to weaken consumer and business buying power, thereby dampening growth, contends NAR's George Ratiu.

Technology is undoubtedly changing commercial real estate, but is it overstating the case to call these changes revolutionary? Real estate economist Hugh F. Kelly makes the case for healthy skepticism that can help companies avoid unwise strategic choices.

Current market conditions and history favor investors with upper single-digit return expectations over a 10-year hold and an ample debt coverage cushion.

The NAR economist weighs wide-raging indicators and their importance for the commercial real estate sector.

The moderate economic growth after the recession along with risks of a downturn and stricter immigration policies are just some of the reasons why investors should plan their long-term strategies thoroughly.