Orange County Multifamily Report – Spring 2021

After stabilizing in the second half of 2020, the market's rent growth rate rebounded above the U.S. average.
Orange County rent evolution, click to enlarge
Orange County rent evolution, click to enlarge

Orange County displayed signs of stabilization in the second part of 2020 and this trend has continued in 2021. Limited new supply is again one step behind healthy demand, with rents rising by 0.3 percent on a trailing three-month basis through February, outperforming the 0.1 percent U.S. rate. The county’s $2,164 average as of February was well above the $1,399 U.S. figure. Occupancy in stabilized properties also mirrored overall healthy dynamics and was up 30 basis points in the 12 months ending in January, to 96.2 percent.

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Orange County sales volume and number of properties sold, click to enlarge
Orange County sales volume and number of properties sold, click to enlarge

Following the abrupt drop in job gains, the employment market posted a slow but steady comeback in the last quarter of 2020, recording a 9.5 percent reduction in the 12 months ending in December and trailing the -6.8 percent national figure. The unemployment rate stood at 6.4 percent in November, with preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics data pointing to a new increase, at 7.4 percent as of January. Construction was the only sector to gain positions last year, up 1.8 percent. The metro’s hardest-hit sector—leisure and hospitality—could see a rebound, as Disney, the county’s largest employer, announced a gradual reopening starting at the end of April.

Developers had 6,547 units underway as of February, on the heels of 1,795 apartments coming online last year. Meanwhile, investors resumed activity and sales totaled $189 million for the first two months of 2021, accounting for nearly half of last year’s total volume.

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