High Rents Drive Move to Fringes in San Francisco

San Francisco rent evolution, click to enlarge

San Francisco’s booming economy, driven by its education and health services sector, is upholding a healthy housing demand. The tight multifamily market has spurred constant rent gains, pushing a 2.6 percent year-over-year growth in January, 20 basis points below the national rate.

Employment gains occurred across all sectors, except for professional and business services, which contracted by 1,200 jobs. The metro added 45,900 jobs through November, up 1.6 percent year-over-year and roughly on par with the 1.8 percent national average. The unemployment rate hit a record low, clocking in at 2.3 percent at the end of the year. The metro’s prosperous education and health services sector will likely support the trend, with a pipeline of 6 million square feet of research and development space. HCP, Alexandria Real Estate, BioMed Realty and Phase 3 Real Estate Partners are all currently working on life science facilities.

San Francisco’s healthy fundamentals and its continued economic expansion remain alluring to both investors and developers. More than $1.4 billion in multifamily assets traded in 2017. The metro’s average per-unit price rose 2.5 percent year-over-year to $285,624, more than double the national average. Apartment construction has been robust, with more than 5,500 units delivered in 2017 and nearly 16,000 underway. Yardi Matrix expects rents to rise 2.8 percent in 2018.

Read the full Yardi Matrix report.

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